Text
E-book Towards the “Perfect” Weather Warning : Bridging Disciplinary Gaps through Partnership and Communication
Disasters happen with appalling frequency in our world, resulting in death, injury, destruction, disruption and economic loss that can set back the development efforts of affected countries by decades. Disasters from natural hazards are growing at a rapid rate for several reasons. Population growth, migration and urbanisation are all leading to the poorest, most vulnerable, people occupying land that is more exposed to severe and frequent threats, while urbanisation and migration are also producing communities that are both more dependent on infrastructure and lacking in local knowledge of their environment. At the same time, climate change is increasing the severity and frequency of many of those threats. In 2015, the world community met together to sign the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR 2015), aimed at building a safer world for everyone.The signing of the Sendai Framework was a critical step towards mobilising resources to counter these trends towards more frequent, more costly disasters. Much of its content deals with planning and policies that will reduce exposure to hazards, especially in new developments, and reduce vulnerability in existing ones. However, threats will always occur that exceed the protection in place, and the Sendai Framework also promotes the critical role of early warnings in enabling people to survive and recover from disasters. Since the cost of disasters can severely set back progress in development, the implementation of more effective responses to weather-related hazards is a theme in many of the Sustainable Development Goals, also agreed by the world community in 2015.The objective of this book is to save lives and livelihoods and to reduce injury, damage and disruption from weather-related hazards in all parts of the world by helping those who create policy and plan, design and operate warning systems to make use of the latest research on what makes a good warning, so that their warn-ings may be more effective in our rapidly changing world. The material for this book has been gathered as part of the World Meteorological Organisation’s High Impact Weather (HIWeather) project under the auspices of the World Weather Research Programme (Golding et al. 2019).While the frequency and severity of threats are growing for the reasons given above, the ability to avoid or reduce their impacts is also growing as a result of sci-entific research and technical innovation. Weather forecasting has seen spectacular advances in prediction accuracy in the last half century, with 5-day forecasts now more accurate than 1-day forecasts were then. These improvements have come as a result of technical achievements in computing and satellite observation as well as from the application of new science. The ability to gather and communicate infor-mation has always been at the heart of weather forecasting and warning, but the revolution in mobile communication of the past 20 years has enabled warning mes-sages to reach a much greater number of people, even in remote areas of developing countries, so that there is a much greater awareness of the approach of weather-related hazards.We have written this book for professionals and trainees who are involved in set-ting policy and planning, implementing and operating warning systems or parts of them. They may be in central or local government, in emergency management, in the management of businesses or utilities, in international aid agencies or in com-munity response groups. The material is also a suitable introduction for those plan-ning research on aspects of the warning chain especially those undertaking transdisciplinary research across the physical and social sciences.In this book, we refer to anyone who acts on a warning as a decision-maker. They may be an individual acting to protect themselves by deciding whether to evacuate or to postpone a journey. They may be a manager responsible for the staff, custom-ers and plant of a business. They may be an emergency manager responsible for the safety of a community. Or they may be a government minister responsible for the safety of a nation. Each has different levels of responsibility and will take different decisions in order to exercise the power they have been given.
Tidak tersedia versi lain