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E-book Exceptional Lifespans
Extreme longevity has long been a topic of interest to the media and to the broader public. There are many legends of people who set longevity records, with tales of individuals who lived 200, 500, and even 969 years. Unfortunately, it is almost impossible to validate the ages of long-lived individuals until the twentieth century. In the second half of the twentieth century, the number of people in a collection of low-mortality countries who have reached age 100 has approximately doubled every decade (Jeune 2002). This trend continued in the first decade of the twenty-first century (HMD 2016), which suggests that the proportion of the long-lived will probably continue to increase in the future. The unprecedented growth in the num-ber of centenarians and supercentenarians (those aged 110 and older) in recent decades provides us with a practical basis for investigating the extremes of human longevity. There is no consensus about the limits of longevity or about the form of the mortality hazard at extreme ages. The existing data suggest that the chances that a new Jeanne Calment – who died in 1997 at age 122 – will appear in the near future are quite low; however, the chances are clearly higher than zero. While the post-ponement of mortality has been reported in many studies (Vaupel 2010), the trajec-tories of longevity at ages above 105 or 110 are still disputed (Gampe 2010; Gavrilov and Gavrilova 2011; Robine and Vaupel 2001). There are radically different ideas and assumptions about the direction of future change in longevity, and about the potential limits to the human lifespan (de Beer et al. 2017; Dong et al. 2016; Oeppen and Vaupel 2002; Olshansky 2013). Having carefully collected and rigorously vali-dated data might help us to confirm or reject these hypotheses.The existing data sources on extreme human longevity can be placed into two categories. The first category consists of comprehensive data assembled by govern-ment agencies on deaths and population exposures for semi-supercentenarians (those aged 105–109) and supercentenarians. The second category consists of unof-ficial special lists and data collections of cases of extreme longevity compiled by researchers interested in the topic from sundry sources.
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