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E-book The Maidan Massacre in Ukraine : The Mass Killing that Changed the World
The chapter describes importance of the Maidan massacre of the police and the Maidan protesters in Kyiv in Ukraine on February 18–20, 2014, and its role in the overthrow of the Ukrainian government and ultimately in the start of the war in Donbas, the Russian annexation of Crimea, and conflicts of Russia with Ukraine and the West that Russia esca-lated dramatically by launching the illegal war with Ukraine on February 24, 2022. The question is whether the Yanukovych government, the Maidan opposition, in particular, the far-right, or any “third force,” such as Russia, was involved in the mass killing of protesters and the police. Methodology and data combine content analysis of thousands of videos, photos, and audio recordings of the massacre in Ukrainian, Russian, English, and Polish with analysis of several hundred testimonies of witnesses and wounded Maidan activists and results of forensic ballistic and medical examinations by Ukrainian government experts. The analysis of the primary data includes about 1,000 hours of video recordings of the Maidan massacre trial, nearly 1,000,000-word trial verdict, and over 2,500 other court decisions. This chapter describes the theoretical frame-work of rational choice and the Weberian theory of rational action and develops the moral hazard theory of the state repression backfire. The mass killing of 74 Maidan protesters and 17 police and Internal Troops members in Ukraine during the mass “Euromaidan” protests on February 18–20, 2014, and wounding of respectively over 300 activists and about 200 police and Internal Troops members is a crucial case of political violence. This mass killing of the protesters and the police led to the overthrow of the democratically elected and pro-Russian govern-ment of Viktor Yanukovych and gave the start of a civil war in Donbas, Russia’s military intervention in Crimea and Donbas, the Russian annexa-tion of Crimea, and an interstate conflict between the West and Russia and between Ukraine and Russia. Russia drastically escalated these conflicts by launching its illegal invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022. The Russia-Ukraine war also escalated into a proxy war between the West and Russia (see Black & Johns, 2015; Katchanovski, 2015, 2016a, 2016b, 2017, 2022a, 2023a, 2023b, Forthcoming; Kudelia, 2016; Hahn, 2018; Sakwa, 2015). This book uses the theory of rational choice, a Weberian theory of instrumental rationality, and state repression backfire theories and analyses a variety of evidence to determine whether the Yanukovych government, the Maidan opposition, or any “third force” was involved in the mass killing of protesters and the police. The research question is which party or parties of the conflict massacred Maidan protesters and the police. The Maidan massacre was immediately attributed to government snipers and the Berkut police by the Maidan opposition, Western leaders, and the media in Ukraine and the West. The far-right commander of the same special Maidan company of snipers called from the Maidan stage on the evening of February 21, 2014, to reject a signed agreement, which was mediated by foreign ministers of France, Germany, and Poland and a representative of the Russian president. He issued a public ultimatum for President Viktor Yanukovych to resign by 10:00am the next day, justi-fied it by blaming Yanukovych and his forces for the massacre, stated that his Maidan company was responsible for the turning point of the Euro-maidan, and threatened an armed assault if Yanukovych would not resign (Yakshho, 2014).
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