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E-book The Future of Childhood in a Changing World

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Penilaian

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Drawing on these three megatrends and many other socioeconomic indicators (see Chapter 2), UNICEF commissioned the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital to analyse scenarios using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) model to explore how the world might look for children in 2050. These scenarios are not predictions, but an exploration of possibilities based on different assumptions about the future. They reflect a certain level of variability in areas like economic growth and demographic trends, among others. What they cannot reflect are the unknowns – such as possible pandemics, economic shocks and technological game changers. In other words, the world is unpredictable: After all, who in March 2019 could have predicted that, within a year, children around the world would be locked out of school because of a global health crisis? Each possible future reflects a world that is very different from today’s. For example, in a business-as-usual scenario based on current trend lines, children in the 2050s will live in societies with fewer children and more adults. More of the world’s children will live in Africa, more will live in cities and more will go to school. Many are projected to live in communities that are at lower risk of prolonged subnational conflict and that have made some progress towards achieving gender equality.

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Ketersediaan

Informasi Detail

Judul Seri

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No. Panggil

344.0327 RUS t

Penerbit

USA : ., 2024

Deskripsi Fisik

75 hlm

Bahasa

English

ISBN/ISSN

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Klasifikasi

344.0327

Tipe Isi

text

Tipe Media

computer

Tipe Pembawa

online resource

Edisi

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Subjek

UNICEF, United Nations Children's Fund

Info Detail Spesifik

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Pernyataan Tanggungjawab

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Versi lain/terkait

Lampiran Berkas

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