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E-book The Future of Skills Employment in 2030
Governing is the art of planning and predicting. Developing a picture of long-term jobs and skills requirements is critical for policymakers as they navigate rapid, complex and uncertain shifts in the economy and society. A wide range of areas – from curriculum development and careers guidance through apprenticeships and workplace training to occupational standards, migration and social insurance – rely on the availability of accurate labour market information (LMI). It is a basic precondition for the system resilience of modern economies – the collective ability of individuals, education and labour market institutions to adapt to change without breaking down or requiring excessively costly intervention to remedy. Today, educationalists speak about a ‘40-year gap’ between experts who are exploring where the world of work and the state of learning will need to be in 15 years’ time, practitioners in the trenches and parents, whose conception of ‘good’ education is framed by their own earlier experiences. The result is a structure that resembles sedimentary rock: each layer has its own assumptions and expectations. But there is little holding the layers together, and once in place, they can limit policy change and future choices.
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